What is OGE Energy Corp. (OGE) DCF Fair Value and Intrinsic Value in 2026?

OGE Energy Corp. (OGE) intrinsic value is calculated using conservative multi-stage Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) models, 5-year free cash flow trajectories, Graham Numbers, and owner earnings multiples. LocalAlpha tracks real-time margin of safety against live market prices.

What is OGE Energy Corp.'s historical Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) and Moat Rating?

OGE Energy Corp. operates in the Utilities sector (Utilities - Regulated Electric) with an economic moat rating of NARROW. LocalAlpha tracks 5-year audited quarterly ROIC, operating margin stability, and balance sheet solvency ratios.

What is OGE Energy Corp.'s financial health rating and Piotroski F-Score?

OGE Energy Corp.'s balance sheet quality is evaluated using the 9-point Piotroski F-Score, Altman Z-Score solvency model, debt-to-equity ratio, and quick/current liquidity coverage to guard against financial distress.

How does LocalAlpha monitor OGE Energy Corp. (OGE) for quarterly SEC filing thesis breaks?

LocalAlpha audits OGE Energy Corp.'s 10-K, 10-Q, and 8-K regulatory filings on SEC EDGAR within 15 minutes of release. If reported metrics breach an investor's custom ROIC floor, operating margin boundary, or qualitative risk criteria, an autonomous breach audit is dispatched immediately.

StocksOGE

OGE

OGE Energy CorpUtilities / Utilities - Regulated ElectricINTACT

OGE Energy Corp., through its subsidiaries, generates, transmits, distributes, and sells electric energy in the United States. It owns and operates coal-fired, natural gas-fired, wind-powered, and solar-powered generating assets. The company also provides retail electric services to approximately 913,000 customers that covers a service area of approximately 30,000 square miles. Additionally, it offers bill payment and electric construction services for residential and business sectors. OGE Energy Corp. was founded in 1902 and is based in Oklahoma City, Oklahoma.

Share Price

$46.55

52W: $41.7 - $50.59

DCF Fair Value

$0.00

0% Premium

Thesis Hub

P/E (TTM)

20.4x

ROIC

19.9%

Operating Margin

26.5%

FCF Yield

1.3%

Debt / Equity

1.17x

Piotroski Score

6/9

Altman Z-Score

2.54

Market Cap

$9.6B

Price vs. Intrinsic Value Corridor

Fair Value Range

Historical market price overlaid against conservative DCF Fair Value & Benjamin Graham Margin of Safety bands.

Period Return (1Y)

—()

Period Range

$— - $—

Valuation Overlays:0 Revised Graham ($59.36) Graham Number ($35.17)

2-Stage Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) Workbench

Conservative intrinsic value model based on owner cash generation over a 10-year investment horizon. Opens with LocalAlpha's baseline assumptions (matching the fair value shown above) — adjust any input to stress-test.

Current Market Price

$46.55

DCF Fair Value

$0.00

-100% Premium

Starting Free Cash Flow ($M)$127M

$100M$127M (Reported)$50,000M

Stage 1 Growth (Years 1-5)13.3%

-5%10% (Target)35%

Stage 2 Growth (Years 6-10)4.5%

0%5%20%

Discount Rate (WACC / Hurdle)9.0%

6%9% (Standard)15% (High Risk)

Terminal Perpetual Growth2.5%

1% (GDP Floor)2.5% (Inflation)4.0%

Net Debt ($M)$5,800M

-$100B CashBalance Sheet+$150B Debt

10-Yr PV of Cash Flows

$1.4B

PV of Terminal Value

$2.0B

Implied Enterprise Value

$3.4B

Implied Equity Value

$-2.4B

Year	Yr 1	Yr 2	Yr 3	Yr 4	Yr 5	Yr 6	Yr 7	Yr 8	Yr 9	Yr 10
Projected FCF ($M)	$144	$163	$185	$209	$237	$248	$259	$271	$283	$295
Present Value (PV)	$132	$137	$143	$148	$154	$148	$142	$136	$130	$125

Benjamin Graham & Buffett Value Models

Classical deep value metrics based on asset backing, normalized earnings power, and owner cash yield.

Graham Number-32.4% Premium

$35.17

Calculated as √(22.5 × EPS × BVPS). The maximum theoretical price a defensive investor should pay based purely on asset book value and current earnings.

EPS: $2.28BVPS: $24.11

Revised Graham Formula+21.6% MoS

$59.36

Formula: V = (EPS × (8.5 + 2g) × 4.4) / Y where g is the conservative 7-10 yr growth rate and Y is AAA Bond Yield.

Growth Rate (g%)

Bond Yield (Y%)

Buffett Owner Earnings1.3% Yield

$0.59 / share

True distributable cash flow: Net Income + D&A - Maintenance CapEx. Reflects the cash Buffett would extract without hurting unit volume.

Total: $0.1BYield: 1.3%

Reverse DCF: Market Growth Expectation

SPECULATIVE BARRIER

23.4% CAGR (Next 10 Yrs)

At the current price of $46.55, the market is assuming the business will compound Free Cash Flow at 23.4% per year for the next decade with a 9% hurdle rate.

Value Investor Verdict

⚠ High expectations: Leaves minimal margin of safety for operational hiccups.

Autonomous Thesis Underwriting

Surveil OGE with Mathematical Margin of Safety Rules

Set non-negotiable floor rules for OGE Energy Corp. If a newly filed quarterly 10-Q breaks your ROIC floor, operating margin boundary, or balance sheet leverage rules, receive an autonomous breach audit within 15 minutes.

Buffett Quality

ROIC > 15% • Margin > 15% • D/E < 0.5x

Margin Floor Guard

Current Margin 26.5% • Floor > 10%

Solvency Guard

Altman-Z > 2.6 • Current Ratio > 1.5x

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Frequently Asked Questions: OGE Energy Corp (OGE) Intrinsic Valuation

Audited fundamentals, DCF intrinsic value sensitivity, and thesis break detection parameters for OGE Energy Corp.

Based on institutional multi-stage Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) modeling on audited SEC cash flows, OGE Energy Corp has an estimated DCF intrinsic fair value of $0.00 per share compared to its current market price of $46.55. This represents an estimated 0.0% margin of safety (trading below fair value). Additionally, its classic Benjamin Graham Number stands at $35.17.