What is Intel Corporation (INTC) DCF Fair Value and Intrinsic Value in 2026?

Intel Corporation (INTC) intrinsic value is calculated using conservative multi-stage Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) models, 5-year free cash flow trajectories, Graham Numbers, and owner earnings multiples. LocalAlpha tracks real-time margin of safety against live market prices.

What is Intel Corporation's historical Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) and Moat Rating?

Intel Corporation operates in the Technology sector (Semiconductors) with an economic moat rating of NONE. LocalAlpha tracks 5-year audited quarterly ROIC, operating margin stability, and balance sheet solvency ratios.

What is Intel Corporation's financial health rating and Piotroski F-Score?

Intel Corporation's balance sheet quality is evaluated using the 9-point Piotroski F-Score, Altman Z-Score solvency model, debt-to-equity ratio, and quick/current liquidity coverage to guard against financial distress.

How does LocalAlpha monitor Intel Corporation (INTC) for quarterly SEC filing thesis breaks?

LocalAlpha audits Intel Corporation's 10-K, 10-Q, and 8-K regulatory filings on SEC EDGAR within 15 minutes of release. If reported metrics breach an investor's custom ROIC floor, operating margin boundary, or qualitative risk criteria, an autonomous breach audit is dispatched immediately.

StocksINTC

INTC

Intel CorporationTechnology / SemiconductorsINTACT

Intel Corporation designs, develops, manufactures, markets, sells, and services computing and related end products and services in the United States, Ireland, Israel, and internationally. It operates through three segments: CCG, DCAI, and Intel Foundry. The company offers client computing group products, including client and commercial CPUs, discrete client GPUs, edge computing, and connectivity products; data center and AI products, such as server CPUs, discrete GPUs, and networking products; and semiconductors comprising wafer fabrication, substrates, and other related products and services. It also provides driving assistance and self-driving solutions; and develops and manufactures multi-beam mask writing tools. The company sells its products through sales organizations, distributors, resellers, retailers, and OEM partners. It serves original equipment manufacturers, original design manufacturers, cloud service providers, and other manufacturers and service providers. Intel Corporation has a strategic collaboration with Infosys Limited to develop a multi-layer AI fabric that unifies infrastructure, models, data, applications, and workflows into a composable and agent-ready ecosystem. The company was incorporated in 1968 and is headquartered in Santa Clara, California.

Share Price

$102.94

52W: $24.05 - $142.35

DCF Fair Value

$14.11

-629.6% Premium

Thesis Hub

P/E (TTM)

20x

ROIC

9.1%

Operating Margin

12.2%

FCF Yield

0.9%

Debt / Equity

0.49x

Piotroski Score

6/9

Altman Z-Score

2.91

Market Cap

$544.2B

Price vs. Intrinsic Value Corridor

Overvalued vs DCF ($14.11)

Historical market price overlaid against conservative DCF Fair Value & Benjamin Graham Margin of Safety bands.

Period Return (1Y)

—()

Period Range

$— - $—

DCF Fair Value

$14.11

MOS Buy Target (-25%)

$10.58

Valuation Overlays: DCF Fair Value ($14.11) 25% MOS Buy Target ($10.58)

2-Stage Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) Workbench

Conservative intrinsic value model based on owner cash generation over a 10-year investment horizon. Opens with LocalAlpha's baseline assumptions (matching the fair value shown above) — adjust any input to stress-test.

Current Market Price

$102.94

DCF Fair Value

$14.14

-628.1% Premium

Starting Free Cash Flow ($M)$4,866M

$100M$4,866M (Reported)$50,000M

Stage 1 Growth (Years 1-5)6.1%

-5%10% (Target)35%

Stage 2 Growth (Years 6-10)4.5%

0%5%20%

Discount Rate (WACC / Hurdle)9.0%

6%9% (Standard)15% (High Risk)

Terminal Perpetual Growth2.5%

1% (GDP Floor)2.5% (Inflation)4.0%

Net Debt ($M)$20,800M

-$100B CashBalance Sheet+$150B Debt

10-Yr PV of Cash Flows

$41.2B

PV of Terminal Value

$54.3B

Implied Enterprise Value

$95.5B

Implied Equity Value

$74.7B

Year	Yr 1	Yr 2	Yr 3	Yr 4	Yr 5	Yr 6	Yr 7	Yr 8	Yr 9	Yr 10
Projected FCF ($M)	$5,163	$5,478	$5,812	$6,166	$6,543	$6,837	$7,145	$7,466	$7,802	$8,153
Present Value (PV)	$4,737	$4,611	$4,488	$4,368	$4,252	$4,077	$3,908	$3,747	$3,592	$3,444

Benjamin Graham & Buffett Value Models

Classical deep value metrics based on asset backing, normalized earnings power, and owner cash yield.

Graham Number

N/A

Calculated as √(22.5 × EPS × BVPS). The maximum theoretical price a defensive investor should pay based purely on asset book value and current earnings.

Not calculable here: the formula takes a square root of EPS × book value, so it breaks down when trailing earnings (or book value) are negative. A company losing money has no defensive-investor price under Graham's classic test — lean on the DCF and solvency scores instead.

EPS: $-2.09BVPS: $17.36

Revised Graham Formula

N/A

Formula: V = (EPS × (8.5 + 2g) × 4.4) / Y where g is the conservative 7-10 yr growth rate and Y is AAA Bond Yield.

Growth Rate (g%)

Bond Yield (Y%)

Buffett Owner Earnings0.8% Yield

$0.87 / share

True distributable cash flow: Net Income + D&A - Maintenance CapEx. Reflects the cash Buffett would extract without hurting unit volume.

Total: $4.6BYield: 0.8%

Reverse DCF: Market Growth Expectation

SPECULATIVE BARRIER

28.8% CAGR (Next 10 Yrs)

At the current price of $102.94, the market is assuming the business will compound Free Cash Flow at 28.8% per year for the next decade with a 9% hurdle rate.

Value Investor Verdict

⚠ High expectations: Leaves minimal margin of safety for operational hiccups.

Autonomous Thesis Underwriting

Surveil INTC with Mathematical Margin of Safety Rules

Set non-negotiable floor rules for Intel Corporation. If a newly filed quarterly 10-Q breaks your ROIC floor, operating margin boundary, or balance sheet leverage rules, receive an autonomous breach audit within 15 minutes.

Buffett Quality

ROIC > 15% • Margin > 15% • D/E < 0.5x

Margin Floor Guard

Current Margin 12.2% • Floor > 10%

Solvency Guard

Altman-Z > 2.6 • Current Ratio > 1.5x

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Frequently Asked Questions: Intel Corporation (INTC) Intrinsic Valuation

Audited fundamentals, DCF intrinsic value sensitivity, and thesis break detection parameters for Intel Corporation.

Based on institutional multi-stage Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) modeling on audited SEC cash flows, Intel Corporation has an estimated DCF intrinsic fair value of $14.11 per share compared to its current market price of $102.94. This represents an estimated 629.6% premium over fair value. Additionally, its classic Benjamin Graham Number stands at $N/A.