What is Public Storage (PSA) DCF Fair Value and Intrinsic Value in 2026?

Public Storage (PSA) intrinsic value is calculated using conservative multi-stage Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) models, 5-year free cash flow trajectories, Graham Numbers, and owner earnings multiples. LocalAlpha tracks real-time margin of safety against live market prices.

What is Public Storage's historical Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) and Moat Rating?

Public Storage operates in the Real Estate sector (REIT - Industrial) with an economic moat rating of NARROW. LocalAlpha tracks 5-year audited quarterly ROIC, operating margin stability, and balance sheet solvency ratios.

What is Public Storage's financial health rating and Piotroski F-Score?

Public Storage's balance sheet quality is evaluated using the 9-point Piotroski F-Score, Altman Z-Score solvency model, debt-to-equity ratio, and quick/current liquidity coverage to guard against financial distress.

How does LocalAlpha monitor Public Storage (PSA) for quarterly SEC filing thesis breaks?

LocalAlpha audits Public Storage's 10-K, 10-Q, and 8-K regulatory filings on SEC EDGAR within 15 minutes of release. If reported metrics breach an investor's custom ROIC floor, operating margin boundary, or qualitative risk criteria, an autonomous breach audit is dispatched immediately.

StocksPSA

PSA

Public StorageReal Estate / REIT - IndustrialINTACT

Public Storage, a member of the S&P 500, is a REIT that primarily acquires, develops, owns, and operates self-storage facilities. At June 30, 2026, The firm: (i) owned and/or operated 3,584 self-storage facilities located in 40 states with approximately 259 million net rentable square feet in the United States and (ii) owned a 35% common equity interest in Shurgard Self Storage Limited (Euronext Brussels: SHUR), which owned 335 self-storage facilities located in seven Western European countries with approximately 19 million net rentable square feet operated under the Shurgard brand. Public Storage is headquartered in Frisco, Texas. Public Storage was incorporated in 1972 in Maryland.

Share Price

$296.50

52W: $256.54 - $335.55

DCF Fair Value

$345.84

+14.3%

Thesis Hub

P/E (TTM)

28.3x

ROIC

34.3%

Operating Margin

45.7%

FCF Yield

4.2%

Debt / Equity

1.1x

Piotroski Score

7/9

Altman Z-Score

3.04

Market Cap

$55.4B

Price vs. Intrinsic Value Corridor

Modest Value ($296.50 vs $345.84 DCF)

Historical market price overlaid against conservative DCF Fair Value & Benjamin Graham Margin of Safety bands.

Period Return (1Y)

—()

Period Range

$— - $—

DCF Fair Value

$345.84

MOS Buy Target (-25%)

$259.38

Valuation Overlays: DCF Fair Value ($345.84) 25% MOS Buy Target ($259.38) Revised Graham ($370.21) Graham Number ($80.65)

2-Stage Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) Workbench

Conservative intrinsic value model based on owner cash generation over a 10-year investment horizon. Opens with LocalAlpha's baseline assumptions (matching the fair value shown above) — adjust any input to stress-test.

Current Market Price

$296.50

DCF Fair Value

$345.67

+14.2%

Starting Free Cash Flow ($M)$2,334M

$100M$2,334M (Reported)$50,000M

Stage 1 Growth (Years 1-5)18.0%

-5%10% (Target)35%

Stage 2 Growth (Years 6-10)4.5%

0%5%20%

Discount Rate (WACC / Hurdle)9.0%

6%9% (Standard)15% (High Risk)

Terminal Perpetual Growth2.5%

1% (GDP Floor)2.5% (Inflation)4.0%

Net Debt ($M)$9,900M

-$100B CashBalance Sheet+$150B Debt

10-Yr PV of Cash Flows

$30.2B

PV of Terminal Value

$44.3B

Implied Enterprise Value

$74.5B

Implied Equity Value

$64.6B

Year	Yr 1	Yr 2	Yr 3	Yr 4	Yr 5	Yr 6	Yr 7	Yr 8	Yr 9	Yr 10
Projected FCF ($M)	$2,754	$3,250	$3,835	$4,525	$5,340	$5,580	$5,831	$6,093	$6,368	$6,654
Present Value (PV)	$2,527	$2,735	$2,961	$3,206	$3,470	$3,327	$3,190	$3,058	$2,932	$2,811

Benjamin Graham & Buffett Value Models

Classical deep value metrics based on asset backing, normalized earnings power, and owner cash yield.

Graham Number-267.6% Premium

$80.65

Calculated as √(22.5 × EPS × BVPS). The maximum theoretical price a defensive investor should pay based purely on asset book value and current earnings.

EPS: $10.49BVPS: $27.56

Revised Graham Formula+19.9%

$370.21

Formula: V = (EPS × (8.5 + 2g) × 4.4) / Y where g is the conservative 7-10 yr growth rate and Y is AAA Bond Yield.

Growth Rate (g%)

Bond Yield (Y%)

Buffett Owner Earnings4% Yield

$11.86 / share

True distributable cash flow: Net Income + D&A - Maintenance CapEx. Reflects the cash Buffett would extract without hurting unit volume.

Total: $2.2BYield: 4%

Reverse DCF: Market Growth Expectation

FAIR BARRIER

7.9% CAGR (Next 10 Yrs)

At the current price of $296.50, the market is assuming the business will compound Free Cash Flow at 7.9% per year for the next decade with a 9% hurdle rate.

Value Investor Verdict

✓ Low market hurdle: Easy for a wide-moat compounder to beat.

Autonomous Thesis Underwriting

Surveil PSA with Mathematical Margin of Safety Rules

Set non-negotiable floor rules for Public Storage. If a newly filed quarterly 10-Q breaks your ROIC floor, operating margin boundary, or balance sheet leverage rules, receive an autonomous breach audit within 15 minutes.

Buffett Quality

ROIC > 15% • Margin > 15% • D/E < 0.5x

Margin Floor Guard

Current Margin 45.7% • Floor > 10%

Solvency Guard

Altman-Z > 2.6 • Current Ratio > 1.5x

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Frequently Asked Questions: Public Storage (PSA) Intrinsic Valuation

Audited fundamentals, DCF intrinsic value sensitivity, and thesis break detection parameters for Public Storage.

Based on institutional multi-stage Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) modeling on audited SEC cash flows, Public Storage has an estimated DCF intrinsic fair value of $345.84 per share compared to its current market price of $296.50. This represents an estimated 14.3% margin of safety (trading below fair value). Additionally, its classic Benjamin Graham Number stands at $80.65.