ALB

Albemarle CorporationBasic Materials / Specialty ChemicalsINTACT

Albemarle Corporation provides energy storage solutions worldwide. It operates through three segments: Energy Storage, Specialties, and Ketjen. The Energy Storage segment offers lithium compounds, including lithium carbonate, lithium hydroxide, and lithium chloride for use in lithium batteries used in consumer electronics and electric vehicles; power grids and solar panels; high-performance greases; and specialty glass used in consumer appliances and electronics. The Specialties segment provides bromine and highly specialized lithium solutions for various industries, such as energy, mobility, connectivity, and health comprising fire safety compounds; bromine-based specialty chemical products, including elemental bromine, alkyl bromides, inorganic bromides, brominated powdered activated carbon, and various bromine fine chemicals; lithium specialties, such as butyllithium and lithium aluminum hydride; cesium products for the chemical and pharmaceutical industries; and zirconium, barium, and titanium products for pyrotechnical applications, including airbag initiators. This segment also provides organic synthesis processes in the areas of steroid chemistry and vitamins, and various life science applications, as well as intermediates for the pharmaceutical industry; technical services, including handling and use of reactive lithium products; and recycling services for lithium-containing by-products. The Ketjen segment offers clean fuels technologies, including hydroprocessing catalysts together with isomerization and alkylation catalysts; fluidized catalytic cracking catalysts and additives; and performance catalyst solutions comprising organometallics and curatives. It serves the grid storage, automotive, aerospace, conventional energy, electronics, construction, agriculture and food, pharmaceuticals, and medical device industries. Albemarle Corporation was founded in 1887 and is headquartered in Charlotte, North Carolina.

Share Price
$117.52
52W: $77.5 - $221
DCF Fair Value
$303.15
+61.2% MoS
P/E (TTM)
435.3x
ROIC
20.8%
Operating Margin
27.7%
FCF Yield
9.6%
Debt / Equity
0.19x
Piotroski Score
7/9
Altman Z-Score
3.97
Market Cap
$13.9B

Price vs. Intrinsic Value Corridor

Margin of Safety Buy Zone (<25% Discount)

Historical market price overlaid against conservative DCF Fair Value & Benjamin Graham Margin of Safety bands.

Period Return (1Y)
()
Period Range
$ - $
DCF Fair Value
$303.15
MOS Buy Target (-25%)
$227.36
Valuation Overlays:

2-Stage Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) Workbench

Conservative intrinsic value model based on owner cash generation over a 10-year investment horizon. Opens with LocalAlpha's baseline assumptions (matching the fair value shown above) — adjust any input to stress-test.

Current Market Price
$117.52
DCF Fair Value
$303.30
+61.3% MoS
$1,334M
$100M$1,334M (Reported)$50,000M
13.9%
-5%10% (Target)35%
4.5%
0%5%20%
9.0%
6%9% (Standard)15% (High Risk)
2.5%
1% (GDP Floor)2.5% (Inflation)4.0%
$400M
-$100B CashBalance Sheet+$150B Debt
10-Yr PV of Cash Flows
$15.0B
PV of Terminal Value
$21.2B
Implied Enterprise Value
$36.2B
Implied Equity Value
$35.8B
YearYr 1Yr 2Yr 3Yr 4Yr 5Yr 6Yr 7Yr 8Yr 9Yr 10
Projected FCF ($M)$1,519$1,731$1,971$2,245$2,557$2,672$2,793$2,918$3,050$3,187
Present Value (PV)$1,394$1,457$1,522$1,591$1,662$1,593$1,528$1,465$1,404$1,346

Benjamin Graham & Buffett Value Models

Classical deep value metrics based on asset backing, normalized earnings power, and owner cash yield.

Graham Number-477.5% Premium
$20.35

Calculated as √(22.5 × EPS × BVPS). The maximum theoretical price a defensive investor should pay based purely on asset book value and current earnings.

EPS: $0.27BVPS: $68.14
Revised Graham Formula-1521% Premium
$7.25

Formula: V = (EPS × (8.5 + 2g) × 4.4) / Y where g is the conservative 7-10 yr growth rate and Y is AAA Bond Yield.

Buffett Owner Earnings9.1% Yield
$10.74 / share

True distributable cash flow: Net Income + D&A - Maintenance CapEx. Reflects the cash Buffett would extract without hurting unit volume.

Total: $1.3BYield: 9.1%

Reverse DCF: Market Growth Expectation

EXTREMELY LOW BARRIER
-3.1% CAGR (Next 10 Yrs)

At the current price of $117.52, the market is assuming the business will compound Free Cash Flow at -3.1% per year for the next decade with a 9% hurdle rate.

Value Investor Verdict
✓ Low market hurdle: Easy for a wide-moat compounder to beat.
Autonomous Thesis Underwriting

Surveil ALB with Mathematical Margin of Safety Rules

Set non-negotiable floor rules for Albemarle Corporation. If a newly filed quarterly 10-Q breaks your ROIC floor, operating margin boundary, or balance sheet leverage rules, receive an autonomous breach audit within 15 minutes.

Buffett Quality

ROIC > 15% • Margin > 15% • D/E < 0.5x

Margin Floor Guard

Current Margin 27.7% • Floor > 10%

Solvency Guard

Altman-Z > 2.6 • Current Ratio > 1.5x

Frequently Asked Questions: Albemarle Corporation (ALB) Intrinsic Valuation

Audited fundamentals, DCF intrinsic value sensitivity, and thesis break detection parameters for Albemarle Corporation.

Based on institutional multi-stage Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) modeling on audited SEC cash flows, Albemarle Corporation has an estimated DCF intrinsic fair value of $303.15 per share compared to its current market price of $117.52. This represents an estimated 61.2% margin of safety (trading below fair value). Additionally, its classic Benjamin Graham Number stands at $20.35.

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