CHD

Church & Dwight Company, Inc.Consumer Defensive / Household & Personal ProductsINTACT

Church & Dwight Co., Inc. develops, manufactures, and markets household, personal care, and specialty products. It operates in three segments: Consumer Domestic, Consumer International, and Specialty Products Division. The company offers baking soda, cat litters, laundry detergents, carpet deodorizers, and other baking soda-based products under the ARM & HAMMER brand; stain removers, cleaning solutions, laundry detergents, and bleach alternatives under the OXICLEAN brand; dry shampoos under the BATISTE brand; water flossers under the WATERPIK brand; oral care products under the THERABREATH brand; acne treatment products under the HERO brand; hand sanitizers under the TOUCHLAND brand; and condoms, lubricants, and vibrators under the TROJAN brand. It also provides home pregnancy and ovulation test kits under the FIRST RESPONSE brand; depilatories under the NAIR; oral analgesics under the ORAJEL brand; laundry detergents under the XTRA brand; and cold shortening and relief products under the ZICAM brand. In addition, the company's specialty products include animal and food productivity products, such as ARM & HAMMER baking soda as a feed additive to help dairy cow; BIO-CHLOR and FERMENTEN used to reduce health issues associated with calving, as well as needed protein; CELMANAX refined functional carbohydrate, a yeast-based prebiotic; and CERTILLUS a probiotics products used in the poultry, dairy, beef, and swine industries. Additionally, it offers sodium bicarbonate; and cleaning and deodorizing products. The company sells its consumer products through supermarkets, mass merchandisers, wholesale clubs, drugstores, convenience stores, home stores, dollar and other discount stores, pet and other specialty stores, websites and other e-commerce channels; and specialty products to industrial customers and livestock producers through distributors. Church & Dwight Co., Inc. was founded in 1846 and is headquartered in Ewing, New Jersey.

Share Price
$94.15
52W: $81.33 - $106.04
DCF Fair Value
$78.90
-19.3% Premium
P/E (TTM)
30.1x
ROIC
13.6%
Operating Margin
18.1%
FCF Yield
4.2%
Debt / Equity
0.56x
Piotroski Score
8/9
Altman Z-Score
3.38
Market Cap
$22.3B

Price vs. Intrinsic Value Corridor

Overvalued vs DCF ($78.90)

Historical market price overlaid against conservative DCF Fair Value & Benjamin Graham Margin of Safety bands.

Period Return (1Y)
()
Period Range
$ - $
DCF Fair Value
$78.90
MOS Buy Target (-25%)
$59.18
Valuation Overlays:

2-Stage Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) Workbench

Conservative intrinsic value model based on owner cash generation over a 10-year investment horizon. Opens with LocalAlpha's baseline assumptions (matching the fair value shown above) — adjust any input to stress-test.

Current Market Price
$94.15
DCF Fair Value
$79.41
-18.6% Premium
$939M
$100M$939M (Reported)$50,000M
9.1%
-5%10% (Target)35%
4.5%
0%5%20%
9.0%
6%9% (Standard)15% (High Risk)
2.5%
1% (GDP Floor)2.5% (Inflation)4.0%
$2,100M
-$100B CashBalance Sheet+$150B Debt
10-Yr PV of Cash Flows
$8.9B
PV of Terminal Value
$12.0B
Implied Enterprise Value
$20.9B
Implied Equity Value
$18.8B
YearYr 1Yr 2Yr 3Yr 4Yr 5Yr 6Yr 7Yr 8Yr 9Yr 10
Projected FCF ($M)$1,024$1,118$1,219$1,330$1,451$1,517$1,585$1,656$1,731$1,809
Present Value (PV)$940$941$942$942$943$904$867$831$797$764

Benjamin Graham & Buffett Value Models

Classical deep value metrics based on asset backing, normalized earnings power, and owner cash yield.

Graham Number-162% Premium
$35.94

Calculated as √(22.5 × EPS × BVPS). The maximum theoretical price a defensive investor should pay based purely on asset book value and current earnings.

EPS: $3.13BVPS: $18.34
Revised Graham Formula-48.5% Premium
$63.41

Formula: V = (EPS × (8.5 + 2g) × 4.4) / Y where g is the conservative 7-10 yr growth rate and Y is AAA Bond Yield.

Buffett Owner Earnings4% Yield
$3.76 / share

True distributable cash flow: Net Income + D&A - Maintenance CapEx. Reflects the cash Buffett would extract without hurting unit volume.

Total: $0.9BYield: 4%

Reverse DCF: Market Growth Expectation

FAIR BARRIER
7.9% CAGR (Next 10 Yrs)

At the current price of $94.15, the market is assuming the business will compound Free Cash Flow at 7.9% per year for the next decade with a 9% hurdle rate.

Value Investor Verdict
✓ Low market hurdle: Easy for a wide-moat compounder to beat.
Autonomous Thesis Underwriting

Surveil CHD with Mathematical Margin of Safety Rules

Set non-negotiable floor rules for Church & Dwight Company, Inc.. If a newly filed quarterly 10-Q breaks your ROIC floor, operating margin boundary, or balance sheet leverage rules, receive an autonomous breach audit within 15 minutes.

Buffett Quality

ROIC > 15% • Margin > 15% • D/E < 0.5x

Margin Floor Guard

Current Margin 18.1% • Floor > 10%

Solvency Guard

Altman-Z > 2.6 • Current Ratio > 1.5x

Frequently Asked Questions: Church & Dwight Company, Inc. (CHD) Intrinsic Valuation

Audited fundamentals, DCF intrinsic value sensitivity, and thesis break detection parameters for Church & Dwight Company, Inc..

Based on institutional multi-stage Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) modeling on audited SEC cash flows, Church & Dwight Company, Inc. has an estimated DCF intrinsic fair value of $78.90 per share compared to its current market price of $94.15. This represents an estimated 19.3% premium over fair value. Additionally, its classic Benjamin Graham Number stands at $35.93.

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