What is C.H. Robinson Worldwide, Inc. (CHRW) DCF Fair Value and Intrinsic Value in 2026?

C.H. Robinson Worldwide, Inc. (CHRW) intrinsic value is calculated using conservative multi-stage Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) models, 5-year free cash flow trajectories, Graham Numbers, and owner earnings multiples. LocalAlpha tracks real-time margin of safety against live market prices.

What is C.H. Robinson Worldwide, Inc.'s historical Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) and Moat Rating?

C.H. Robinson Worldwide, Inc. operates in the Industrials sector (Integrated Freight & Logistics) with an economic moat rating of NARROW. LocalAlpha tracks 5-year audited quarterly ROIC, operating margin stability, and balance sheet solvency ratios.

What is C.H. Robinson Worldwide, Inc.'s financial health rating and Piotroski F-Score?

C.H. Robinson Worldwide, Inc.'s balance sheet quality is evaluated using the 9-point Piotroski F-Score, Altman Z-Score solvency model, debt-to-equity ratio, and quick/current liquidity coverage to guard against financial distress.

How does LocalAlpha monitor C.H. Robinson Worldwide, Inc. (CHRW) for quarterly SEC filing thesis breaks?

LocalAlpha audits C.H. Robinson Worldwide, Inc.'s 10-K, 10-Q, and 8-K regulatory filings on SEC EDGAR within 15 minutes of release. If reported metrics breach an investor's custom ROIC floor, operating margin boundary, or qualitative risk criteria, an autonomous breach audit is dispatched immediately.

StocksCHRW

CHRW

C.H. Robinson Worldwide, Inc.Industrials / Integrated Freight & LogisticsINTACT

C.H. Robinson Worldwide, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, provides freight transportation and related logistics and supply chain services in the United States and internationally. It operates in two segments, North American Surface Transportation and Global Forwarding. The company offers transportation and logistics services, such as truckload; less than truckload transportation brokerage services, which include the shipment of single or multiple pallets of freight; intermodal transportation that comprises the shipment service of freight in containers or trailers by a combination of truck and rail; and non-vessel operating common carrier and freight forwarding services, as well as organizes indirect air carrier and freight forwarder providing door-to-door services. It also provides customs brokerage services; and other logistics services, such as fee-based managed, warehousing, supply chain consulting and optimization services, and other services. In addition, the company is involved in the buying, selling, and/or marketing of fresh fruits, vegetables, and other value-added perishable items under the Robinson Fresh trade name. Further, the company offers transportation management and other surface transportation services. It provides fresh produce to grocery retailers, restaurants, produce wholesalers. C.H. Robinson Worldwide, Inc. was founded in 1905 and is headquartered in Eden Prairie, Minnesota.

Share Price

$152.78

52W: $123.64 - $210.33

DCF Fair Value

$62.66

-143.8% Premium

Thesis Hub

P/E (TTM)

29x

ROIC

Operating Margin

5.3%

FCF Yield

2.7%

Debt / Equity

1.21x

Piotroski Score

6/9

Altman Z-Score

4.35

Market Cap

$17.9B

Price vs. Intrinsic Value Corridor

Overvalued vs DCF ($62.66)

Historical market price overlaid against conservative DCF Fair Value & Benjamin Graham Margin of Safety bands.

Period Return (1Y)

—()

Period Range

$— - $—

DCF Fair Value

$62.66

MOS Buy Target (-25%)

$47.00

Valuation Overlays: DCF Fair Value ($62.66) 25% MOS Buy Target ($47.00) Revised Graham ($79.56) Graham Number ($40.56)

2-Stage Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) Workbench

Conservative intrinsic value model based on owner cash generation over a 10-year investment horizon. Opens with LocalAlpha's baseline assumptions (matching the fair value shown above) — adjust any input to stress-test.

Current Market Price

$152.78

DCF Fair Value

$62.62

-144% Premium

Starting Free Cash Flow ($M)$481M

$100M$481M (Reported)$50,000M

Stage 1 Growth (Years 1-5)5.3%

-5%10% (Target)35%

Stage 2 Growth (Years 6-10)4.5%

0%5%20%

Discount Rate (WACC / Hurdle)9.0%

6%9% (Standard)15% (High Risk)

Terminal Perpetual Growth2.5%

1% (GDP Floor)2.5% (Inflation)4.0%

Net Debt ($M)$1,800M

-$100B CashBalance Sheet+$150B Debt

10-Yr PV of Cash Flows

$4.0B

PV of Terminal Value

$5.2B

Implied Enterprise Value

$9.1B

Implied Equity Value

$7.3B

Year	Yr 1	Yr 2	Yr 3	Yr 4	Yr 5	Yr 6	Yr 7	Yr 8	Yr 9	Yr 10
Projected FCF ($M)	$506	$533	$562	$591	$623	$651	$680	$711	$743	$776
Present Value (PV)	$465	$449	$434	$419	$405	$388	$372	$357	$342	$328

Benjamin Graham & Buffett Value Models

Classical deep value metrics based on asset backing, normalized earnings power, and owner cash yield.

Graham Number-276.7% Premium

$40.56

Calculated as √(22.5 × EPS × BVPS). The maximum theoretical price a defensive investor should pay based purely on asset book value and current earnings.

EPS: $5.26BVPS: $13.90

Revised Graham Formula-92% Premium

$79.56

Formula: V = (EPS × (8.5 + 2g) × 4.4) / Y where g is the conservative 7-10 yr growth rate and Y is AAA Bond Yield.

Growth Rate (g%)

Bond Yield (Y%)

Buffett Owner Earnings2.6% Yield

$3.91 / share

True distributable cash flow: Net Income + D&A - Maintenance CapEx. Reflects the cash Buffett would extract without hurting unit volume.

Total: $0.5BYield: 2.6%

Reverse DCF: Market Growth Expectation

FAIR BARRIER

13.8% CAGR (Next 10 Yrs)

At the current price of $152.78, the market is assuming the business will compound Free Cash Flow at 13.8% per year for the next decade with a 9% hurdle rate.

Value Investor Verdict

ℹ Fair expectations: Requires steady execution.

Autonomous Thesis Underwriting

Surveil CHRW with Mathematical Margin of Safety Rules

Set non-negotiable floor rules for C.H. Robinson Worldwide, Inc.. If a newly filed quarterly 10-Q breaks your ROIC floor, operating margin boundary, or balance sheet leverage rules, receive an autonomous breach audit within 15 minutes.

Buffett Quality

ROIC > 15% • Margin > 15% • D/E < 0.5x

Margin Floor Guard

Current Margin 5.3% • Floor > 10%

Solvency Guard

Altman-Z > 2.6 • Current Ratio > 1.5x

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Frequently Asked Questions: C.H. Robinson Worldwide, Inc. (CHRW) Intrinsic Valuation

Audited fundamentals, DCF intrinsic value sensitivity, and thesis break detection parameters for C.H. Robinson Worldwide, Inc..

Based on institutional multi-stage Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) modeling on audited SEC cash flows, C.H. Robinson Worldwide, Inc. has an estimated DCF intrinsic fair value of $62.66 per share compared to its current market price of $152.78. This represents an estimated 143.8% premium over fair value. Additionally, its classic Benjamin Graham Number stands at $40.56.