CPB
The Campbell's CompanyConsumer Defensive / Packaged FoodsINTACTThe Campbell's Company, together with its subsidiaries, manufactures and markets food and beverage products in the United States and internationally. It operates through Meals & Beverages, and Snacks segments. The Meals & Beverages segment engages in the retail and foodservice businesses in the United States and Canada. This segment provides Campbell's condensed and ready-to-serve soups; Swanson broth and stocks; Pacific Foods broth, soups, and non-dairy beverages; Prego pasta sauces; Pace Mexican sauces; Campbell's gravies, pasta, beans, and dinner sauces; Swanson canned poultry; V8 juices and beverages; Campbell's tomato juice; Rao's pasta sauces, dry pasta, frozen entrées, frozen pizza, and soups; and Michael Angelo's frozen entrées and pasta sauces, as well as snacking products in foodservice in Canada. Its Snacks segment retails Pepperidge Farm cookies, crackers, fresh bakery, and frozen products, that includes Goldfish crackers, Snyder's of Hanover pretzels, Lance sandwich crackers, Cape Cod and Kettle Brand potato chips, Late July snacks, Snack Factory pretzel crisps, and other snacking products. This segment is also involved in the snacking, and meals and beverage retail business in Latin America. It sells its products through retail food chains, mass discounters and merchandisers, club stores, convenience and dollar stores, e-commerce and other retail, commercial, and non-commercial establishments, and independent contractor distributors. The company was formerly known as Campbell Soup Company and changed its name to The Campbell's Company in November 2024. The Campbell's Company was founded in 1869 and is headquartered in Camden, New Jersey.
Price vs. Intrinsic Value Corridor
Modest Value ($21.00 vs $24.98 DCF)Historical market price overlaid against conservative DCF Fair Value & Benjamin Graham Margin of Safety bands.
2-Stage Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) Workbench
Conservative intrinsic value model based on owner cash generation over a 10-year investment horizon. Opens with LocalAlpha's baseline assumptions (matching the fair value shown above) — adjust any input to stress-test.
| Year | Yr 1 | Yr 2 | Yr 3 | Yr 4 | Yr 5 | Yr 6 | Yr 7 | Yr 8 | Yr 9 | Yr 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Projected FCF ($M) | $787 | $828 | $872 | $918 | $967 | $1,011 | $1,056 | $1,104 | $1,153 | $1,205 |
| Present Value (PV) | $722 | $697 | $673 | $651 | $629 | $603 | $578 | $554 | $531 | $509 |
Benjamin Graham & Buffett Value Models
Classical deep value metrics based on asset backing, normalized earnings power, and owner cash yield.
Calculated as √(22.5 × EPS × BVPS). The maximum theoretical price a defensive investor should pay based purely on asset book value and current earnings.
Formula: V = (EPS × (8.5 + 2g) × 4.4) / Y where g is the conservative 7-10 yr growth rate and Y is AAA Bond Yield.
True distributable cash flow: Net Income + D&A - Maintenance CapEx. Reflects the cash Buffett would extract without hurting unit volume.
Reverse DCF: Market Growth Expectation
EXTREMELY LOW BARRIERAt the current price of $21.00, the market is assuming the business will compound Free Cash Flow at -6.1% per year for the next decade with a 9% hurdle rate.
Surveil CPB with Mathematical Margin of Safety Rules
Set non-negotiable floor rules for The Campbell's Company. If a newly filed quarterly 10-Q breaks your ROIC floor, operating margin boundary, or balance sheet leverage rules, receive an autonomous breach audit within 15 minutes.
ROIC > 15% • Margin > 15% • D/E < 0.5x
Current Margin 10.3% • Floor > 10%
Altman-Z > 2.6 • Current Ratio > 1.5x
Frequently Asked Questions: The Campbell's Company (CPB) Intrinsic Valuation
Audited fundamentals, DCF intrinsic value sensitivity, and thesis break detection parameters for The Campbell's Company.
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