FRT

Federal Realty Investment TrustReal Estate / REIT - RetailINTACT

Federal Realty Investment Trust is a recognized leader in the ownership, operation and redevelopment of high-quality retail-based properties located primarily in major coastal markets and select underserved regions with strong economic and demographic fundamentals. Federal Realty's mission is to deliver long-term, sustainable growth through investing in communities where retail demand exceeds supply. This includes a portfolio of open-air shopping centers and mixed-use destinations—such as Santana Row, Pike & Rose, and Assembly Row, which together reflect the company's ability to create distinctive, high-performing environments that serve as vibrant destinations for their communities. Federal Realty's 103 properties include approximately 3,700 tenants in 28.8 million commercial square feet, and approximately 2,500 residential units. Federal Realty has increased its quarterly dividends to its shareholders for 59 consecutive years, the longest record in the REIT industry. Federal Realty Investment Trust is based in North Bethesda, Maryland. Federal Realty Investment Trust was incorporated in 1962 in Maryland.

Share Price
$114.36
52W: $90.03 - $128.21
DCF Fair Value
$110.68
-3.3% Premium
P/E (TTM)
23.2x
ROIC
26.3%
Operating Margin
35%
FCF Yield
4.6%
Debt / Equity
1.34x
Piotroski Score
6/9
Altman Z-Score
2.49
Market Cap
$9.9B

Price vs. Intrinsic Value Corridor

Overvalued vs DCF ($110.68)

Historical market price overlaid against conservative DCF Fair Value & Benjamin Graham Margin of Safety bands.

Period Return (1Y)
()
Period Range
$ - $
DCF Fair Value
$110.68
MOS Buy Target (-25%)
$83.01
Valuation Overlays:

2-Stage Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) Workbench

Conservative intrinsic value model based on owner cash generation over a 10-year investment horizon. Opens with LocalAlpha's baseline assumptions (matching the fair value shown above) — adjust any input to stress-test.

Current Market Price
$114.36
DCF Fair Value
$110.23
-3.7% Premium
$456M
$100M$456M (Reported)$50,000M
17.5%
-5%10% (Target)35%
4.5%
0%5%20%
9.0%
6%9% (Standard)15% (High Risk)
2.5%
1% (GDP Floor)2.5% (Inflation)4.0%
$4,800M
-$100B CashBalance Sheet+$150B Debt
10-Yr PV of Cash Flows
$5.8B
PV of Terminal Value
$8.5B
Implied Enterprise Value
$14.3B
Implied Equity Value
$9.5B
YearYr 1Yr 2Yr 3Yr 4Yr 5Yr 6Yr 7Yr 8Yr 9Yr 10
Projected FCF ($M)$536$630$740$869$1,021$1,067$1,115$1,165$1,218$1,273
Present Value (PV)$492$530$571$616$664$636$610$585$561$538

Benjamin Graham & Buffett Value Models

Classical deep value metrics based on asset backing, normalized earnings power, and owner cash yield.

Graham Number-78.8% Premium
$63.97

Calculated as √(22.5 × EPS × BVPS). The maximum theoretical price a defensive investor should pay based purely on asset book value and current earnings.

EPS: $4.93BVPS: $36.89
Revised Graham Formula+27.3% MoS
$157.27

Formula: V = (EPS × (8.5 + 2g) × 4.4) / Y where g is the conservative 7-10 yr growth rate and Y is AAA Bond Yield.

Buffett Owner Earnings4.4% Yield
$5.04 / share

True distributable cash flow: Net Income + D&A - Maintenance CapEx. Reflects the cash Buffett would extract without hurting unit volume.

Total: $0.4BYield: 4.4%

Reverse DCF: Market Growth Expectation

MODEST BARRIER
6.7% CAGR (Next 10 Yrs)

At the current price of $114.36, the market is assuming the business will compound Free Cash Flow at 6.7% per year for the next decade with a 9% hurdle rate.

Value Investor Verdict
✓ Low market hurdle: Easy for a wide-moat compounder to beat.
Autonomous Thesis Underwriting

Surveil FRT with Mathematical Margin of Safety Rules

Set non-negotiable floor rules for Federal Realty Investment Trust. If a newly filed quarterly 10-Q breaks your ROIC floor, operating margin boundary, or balance sheet leverage rules, receive an autonomous breach audit within 15 minutes.

Buffett Quality

ROIC > 15% • Margin > 15% • D/E < 0.5x

Margin Floor Guard

Current Margin 35% • Floor > 10%

Solvency Guard

Altman-Z > 2.6 • Current Ratio > 1.5x

Frequently Asked Questions: Federal Realty Investment Trust (FRT) Intrinsic Valuation

Audited fundamentals, DCF intrinsic value sensitivity, and thesis break detection parameters for Federal Realty Investment Trust.

Based on institutional multi-stage Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) modeling on audited SEC cash flows, Federal Realty Investment Trust has an estimated DCF intrinsic fair value of $110.68 per share compared to its current market price of $114.36. This represents an estimated 3.3% premium over fair value. Additionally, its classic Benjamin Graham Number stands at $63.96.

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