StocksJBHT

JBHT

J.B. Hunt Transport Services, IIndustrials / Integrated Freight & LogisticsINTACT

J.B. Hunt Transport Services, Inc. provides surface transportation, delivery, and logistic services in the United States. It operates through five segments: Intermodal, Dedicated Contract Services, Integrated Capacity Solutions, Final Mile Services, and Truckload. The JBI segment offers intermodal freight solutions. It operates 124,838 pieces of company-owned trailing equipment; owns and maintains its chassis fleet of 104,474 units; and manages a fleet of 5,880 company-owned tractors, 308 independent contractor trucks, and 8,704 company drivers. The DCS segment designs, develops, and executes supply chain solutions that support various transportation networks. As of December 31, 2025, it operated 11,878 company-owned trucks, 761 customer-owned trucks, and a contractor trucks. It operates 26,767 owned pieces of trailing equipment and 5,218 customer-owned trailers. The ICS segment provides freight brokerage and transportation logistics solutions; flatbed, refrigerated, expedited, and less-than-truckload, as well as dry-van and intermodal solutions; online multimodal marketplace; and logistics management services for customers to outsource their transportation functions. The FMS segment delivers services through 1,085 company-owned trucks, 169 customer-owned trucks, and 39 independent contractor trucks; and 1,091 owned pieces of trailing equipment and 98 customer-owned trailers. The JBT segment provides dry-van freight services by utilizing tractors and trailers operating over roads and highways through two company-owned tractors and 12,658 company-owned trailers. It transports or arranges for the transportation of freight, such as general merchandise, specialty consumer items, appliances, home furnishings, forest, paper, rubber, plastic products, food, beverages, building materials, apparel, accessories, soaps, cosmetics, automotive parts, agricultural products, electronics, and chemicals. The company was incorporated in 1961 and is headquartered in Lowell, Arkansas.

Share Price
$270.45
52W: $130.12 - $299.76
DCF Fair Value
$167.82
-61.2% Premium
P/E (TTM)
38.5x
ROIC
8%
Operating Margin
7.4%
FCF Yield
3.6%
Debt / Equity
0.38x
Piotroski Score
8/9
Altman Z-Score
3.62
Market Cap
$25.4B

Price vs. Intrinsic Value Corridor

Overvalued vs DCF ($167.82)

Historical market price overlaid against conservative DCF Fair Value & Benjamin Graham Margin of Safety bands.

Period Return (1Y)
()
Period Range
$ - $
DCF Fair Value
$167.82
MOS Buy Target (-25%)
$125.87
Valuation Overlays:

2-Stage Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) Workbench

Conservative intrinsic value model based on owner cash generation over a 10-year investment horizon. Opens with LocalAlpha's baseline assumptions (matching the fair value shown above) — adjust any input to stress-test.

Current Market Price
$270.45
DCF Fair Value
$167.37
-61.6% Premium
$903M
$100M$903M (Reported)$50,000M
5.3%
-5%10% (Target)35%
4.5%
0%5%20%
9.0%
6%9% (Standard)15% (High Risk)
2.5%
1% (GDP Floor)2.5% (Inflation)4.0%
$1,400M
-$100B CashBalance Sheet+$150B Debt
10-Yr PV of Cash Flows
$7.4B
PV of Terminal Value
$9.7B
Implied Enterprise Value
$17.1B
Implied Equity Value
$15.7B
YearYr 1Yr 2Yr 3Yr 4Yr 5Yr 6Yr 7Yr 8Yr 9Yr 10
Projected FCF ($M)$951$1,001$1,054$1,110$1,169$1,222$1,277$1,334$1,394$1,457
Present Value (PV)$872$843$814$786$760$728$698$670$642$615

Benjamin Graham & Buffett Value Models

Classical deep value metrics based on asset backing, normalized earnings power, and owner cash yield.

Graham Number-244.8% Premium
$78.43

Calculated as √(22.5 × EPS × BVPS). The maximum theoretical price a defensive investor should pay based purely on asset book value and current earnings.

EPS: $7.02BVPS: $38.94
Revised Graham Formula-154.7% Premium
$106.18

Formula: V = (EPS × (8.5 + 2g) × 4.4) / Y where g is the conservative 7-10 yr growth rate and Y is AAA Bond Yield.

Buffett Owner Earnings3.4% Yield
$9.13 / share

True distributable cash flow: Net Income + D&A - Maintenance CapEx. Reflects the cash Buffett would extract without hurting unit volume.

Total: $0.9BYield: 3.4%

Reverse DCF: Market Growth Expectation

FAIR BARRIER
10.2% CAGR (Next 10 Yrs)

At the current price of $270.45, the market is assuming the business will compound Free Cash Flow at 10.2% per year for the next decade with a 9% hurdle rate.

Value Investor Verdict
ℹ Fair expectations: Requires steady execution.
Autonomous Thesis Underwriting

Surveil JBHT with Mathematical Margin of Safety Rules

Set non-negotiable floor rules for J.B. Hunt Transport Services, I. If a newly filed quarterly 10-Q breaks your ROIC floor, operating margin boundary, or balance sheet leverage rules, receive an autonomous breach audit within 15 minutes.

Buffett Quality

ROIC > 15% • Margin > 15% • D/E < 0.5x

Margin Floor Guard

Current Margin 7.4% • Floor > 10%

Solvency Guard

Altman-Z > 2.6 • Current Ratio > 1.5x

Frequently Asked Questions: J.B. Hunt Transport Services, I (JBHT) Intrinsic Valuation

Audited fundamentals, DCF intrinsic value sensitivity, and thesis break detection parameters for J.B. Hunt Transport Services, I.

Based on institutional multi-stage Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) modeling on audited SEC cash flows, J.B. Hunt Transport Services, I has an estimated DCF intrinsic fair value of $167.82 per share compared to its current market price of $270.45. This represents an estimated 61.2% premium over fair value. Additionally, its classic Benjamin Graham Number stands at $78.43.

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