KMB

Kimberly-Clark CorporationConsumer Defensive / Household & Personal ProductsINTACT

Kimberly-Clark Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, manufactures and markets personal care products in the United States. It operates in two segments, North America and International Personal Care. The North America segment offers disposable diapers, training and youth pants, swimpants, baby wipes, feminine and incontinence care products, reusable underwear, facial and bathroom tissue, paper towels, napkins, wipers, tissue, towels, soaps and sanitizers, and other related products under the Huggies, Pull-Ups, Goodnites, Kotex, Poise, Depend, Kleenex, Scott, Cottonelle, Viva, Wypall , and other brand names. Its International Personal Care segment provides baby and child care, adult care and feminine care, including disposable diapers, training and youth pants, swimpants, baby wipes, feminine and incontinence care products, reusable underwear, and other related products under the Huggies, Kotex, Goodfeel, Intimus, Depend, and other brand names. The company sells its household use products directly to supermarkets, mass merchandisers, drugstores, warehouse clubs, variety and department stores, and other retail outlets, as well as through other distributors and e-commerce. It also sells its professional use products through distributors, directly to manufacturing, lodging, office building, food service, and high-volume public facilities, and through e-commerce. Kimberly-Clark Corporation was founded in 1872 and is headquartered in Dallas, Texas.

Share Price
$98.15
52W: $92.42 - $129.87
DCF Fair Value
$47.49
-106.7% Premium
P/E (TTM)
19.4x
ROIC
14.3%
Operating Margin
19%
FCF Yield
2.9%
Debt / Equity
3.49x
Piotroski Score
6/9
Altman Z-Score
3.91
Market Cap
$32.6B

Price vs. Intrinsic Value Corridor

Overvalued vs DCF ($47.49)

Historical market price overlaid against conservative DCF Fair Value & Benjamin Graham Margin of Safety bands.

Period Return (1Y)
()
Period Range
$ - $
DCF Fair Value
$47.49
MOS Buy Target (-25%)
$35.62
Valuation Overlays:

2-Stage Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) Workbench

Conservative intrinsic value model based on owner cash generation over a 10-year investment horizon. Opens with LocalAlpha's baseline assumptions (matching the fair value shown above) — adjust any input to stress-test.

Current Market Price
$98.15
DCF Fair Value
$47.64
-106% Premium
$941M
$100M$941M (Reported)$50,000M
9.5%
-5%10% (Target)35%
4.5%
0%5%20%
9.0%
6%9% (Standard)15% (High Risk)
2.5%
1% (GDP Floor)2.5% (Inflation)4.0%
$5,500M
-$100B CashBalance Sheet+$150B Debt
10-Yr PV of Cash Flows
$9.0B
PV of Terminal Value
$12.3B
Implied Enterprise Value
$21.3B
Implied Equity Value
$15.8B
YearYr 1Yr 2Yr 3Yr 4Yr 5Yr 6Yr 7Yr 8Yr 9Yr 10
Projected FCF ($M)$1,030$1,128$1,235$1,353$1,481$1,548$1,618$1,690$1,767$1,846
Present Value (PV)$945$950$954$958$963$923$885$848$813$780

Benjamin Graham & Buffett Value Models

Classical deep value metrics based on asset backing, normalized earnings power, and owner cash yield.

Graham Number-301.1% Premium
$24.47

Calculated as √(22.5 × EPS × BVPS). The maximum theoretical price a defensive investor should pay based purely on asset book value and current earnings.

EPS: $5.06BVPS: $5.26
Revised Graham Formula+7.2%
$105.75

Formula: V = (EPS × (8.5 + 2g) × 4.4) / Y where g is the conservative 7-10 yr growth rate and Y is AAA Bond Yield.

Buffett Owner Earnings2.7% Yield
$2.69 / share

True distributable cash flow: Net Income + D&A - Maintenance CapEx. Reflects the cash Buffett would extract without hurting unit volume.

Total: $0.9BYield: 2.7%

Reverse DCF: Market Growth Expectation

FAIR BARRIER
12.9% CAGR (Next 10 Yrs)

At the current price of $98.15, the market is assuming the business will compound Free Cash Flow at 12.9% per year for the next decade with a 9% hurdle rate.

Value Investor Verdict
ℹ Fair expectations: Requires steady execution.
Autonomous Thesis Underwriting

Surveil KMB with Mathematical Margin of Safety Rules

Set non-negotiable floor rules for Kimberly-Clark Corporation. If a newly filed quarterly 10-Q breaks your ROIC floor, operating margin boundary, or balance sheet leverage rules, receive an autonomous breach audit within 15 minutes.

Buffett Quality

ROIC > 15% • Margin > 15% • D/E < 0.5x

Margin Floor Guard

Current Margin 19% • Floor > 10%

Solvency Guard

Altman-Z > 2.6 • Current Ratio > 1.5x

Frequently Asked Questions: Kimberly-Clark Corporation (KMB) Intrinsic Valuation

Audited fundamentals, DCF intrinsic value sensitivity, and thesis break detection parameters for Kimberly-Clark Corporation.

Based on institutional multi-stage Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) modeling on audited SEC cash flows, Kimberly-Clark Corporation has an estimated DCF intrinsic fair value of $47.49 per share compared to its current market price of $98.15. This represents an estimated 106.7% premium over fair value. Additionally, its classic Benjamin Graham Number stands at $24.48.

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