What is NXP Semiconductors N.V. (NXPI) DCF Fair Value and Intrinsic Value in 2026?

NXP Semiconductors N.V. (NXPI) intrinsic value is calculated using conservative multi-stage Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) models, 5-year free cash flow trajectories, Graham Numbers, and owner earnings multiples. LocalAlpha tracks real-time margin of safety against live market prices.

What is NXP Semiconductors N.V.'s historical Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) and Moat Rating?

NXP Semiconductors N.V. operates in the Technology sector (Semiconductors) with an economic moat rating of NARROW. LocalAlpha tracks 5-year audited quarterly ROIC, operating margin stability, and balance sheet solvency ratios.

What is NXP Semiconductors N.V.'s financial health rating and Piotroski F-Score?

NXP Semiconductors N.V.'s balance sheet quality is evaluated using the 9-point Piotroski F-Score, Altman Z-Score solvency model, debt-to-equity ratio, and quick/current liquidity coverage to guard against financial distress.

How does LocalAlpha monitor NXP Semiconductors N.V. (NXPI) for quarterly SEC filing thesis breaks?

LocalAlpha audits NXP Semiconductors N.V.'s 10-K, 10-Q, and 8-K regulatory filings on SEC EDGAR within 15 minutes of release. If reported metrics breach an investor's custom ROIC floor, operating margin boundary, or qualitative risk criteria, an autonomous breach audit is dispatched immediately.

StocksNXPI

NXPI

NXP Semiconductors N.V.Technology / SemiconductorsINTACT

NXP Semiconductors N.V. provides semiconductor products in the United States, Germany, Japan, South Korea, Taiwan, Singapore, the Netherlands, Mainland China, Hong Kong, and internationally. The company's product portfolio includes microcontrollers; application processors; communication processors; wireless connectivity solutions, such as near field communications, ultra-wideband, Bluetooth low-energy, Zigbee, Thread, and Wi-Fi and Wi-Fi/Bluetooth integrated SoCs; analog and interface products; radio frequency devices, and security controllers, as well as semiconductor-based environmental and inertial sensors, including pressure, inertial, magnetic, and gyroscopic sensors. Its products are used in various applications, including automotive, industrial and Internet of Things, mobile, and communication infrastructure. The company markets its products to direct sales offices and independent distributors. NXP Semiconductors N.V. was incorporated in 2006 and is headquartered in Eindhoven, the Netherlands.

Share Price

$236.62

52W: $183 - $339.95

DCF Fair Value

$372.21

+36.4% MoS

Thesis Hub

P/E (TTM)

20.2x

ROIC

22.8%

Operating Margin

30.4%

FCF Yield

Debt / Equity

0.93x

Piotroski Score

9/9

Altman Z-Score

3.35

Market Cap

$59.7B

Price vs. Intrinsic Value Corridor

Margin of Safety Buy Zone (<25% Discount)

Historical market price overlaid against conservative DCF Fair Value & Benjamin Graham Margin of Safety bands.

Period Return (1Y)

—()

Period Range

$— - $—

DCF Fair Value

$372.21

MOS Buy Target (-25%)

$279.16

Valuation Overlays: DCF Fair Value ($372.21) 25% MOS Buy Target ($279.16) Revised Graham ($336.55) Graham Number ($109.21)

2-Stage Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) Workbench

Conservative intrinsic value model based on owner cash generation over a 10-year investment horizon. Opens with LocalAlpha's baseline assumptions (matching the fair value shown above) — adjust any input to stress-test.

Current Market Price

$236.62

DCF Fair Value

$372.27

+36.4% MoS

Starting Free Cash Flow ($M)$3,555M

$100M$3,555M (Reported)$50,000M

Stage 1 Growth (Years 1-5)15.2%

-5%10% (Target)35%

Stage 2 Growth (Years 6-10)4.5%

0%5%20%

Discount Rate (WACC / Hurdle)9.0%

6%9% (Standard)15% (High Risk)

Terminal Perpetual Growth2.5%

1% (GDP Floor)2.5% (Inflation)4.0%

Net Debt ($M)$7,800M

-$100B CashBalance Sheet+$150B Debt

10-Yr PV of Cash Flows

$41.7B

PV of Terminal Value

$59.9B

Implied Enterprise Value

$101.6B

Implied Equity Value

$93.8B

Year	Yr 1	Yr 2	Yr 3	Yr 4	Yr 5	Yr 6	Yr 7	Yr 8	Yr 9	Yr 10
Projected FCF ($M)	$4,095	$4,718	$5,435	$6,261	$7,213	$7,537	$7,877	$8,231	$8,601	$8,988
Present Value (PV)	$3,757	$3,971	$4,197	$4,436	$4,688	$4,494	$4,309	$4,131	$3,960	$3,797

Benjamin Graham & Buffett Value Models

Classical deep value metrics based on asset backing, normalized earnings power, and owner cash yield.

Graham Number-116.7% Premium

$109.21

Calculated as √(22.5 × EPS × BVPS). The maximum theoretical price a defensive investor should pay based purely on asset book value and current earnings.

EPS: $11.73BVPS: $45.19

Revised Graham Formula+29.7% MoS

$336.55

Formula: V = (EPS × (8.5 + 2g) × 4.4) / Y where g is the conservative 7-10 yr growth rate and Y is AAA Bond Yield.

Growth Rate (g%)

Bond Yield (Y%)

Buffett Owner Earnings5.7% Yield

$13.40 / share

True distributable cash flow: Net Income + D&A - Maintenance CapEx. Reflects the cash Buffett would extract without hurting unit volume.

Total: $3.4BYield: 5.7%

Reverse DCF: Market Growth Expectation

MODEST BARRIER

3.3% CAGR (Next 10 Yrs)

At the current price of $236.62, the market is assuming the business will compound Free Cash Flow at 3.3% per year for the next decade with a 9% hurdle rate.

Value Investor Verdict

✓ Low market hurdle: Easy for a wide-moat compounder to beat.

Autonomous Thesis Underwriting

Surveil NXPI with Mathematical Margin of Safety Rules

Set non-negotiable floor rules for NXP Semiconductors N.V.. If a newly filed quarterly 10-Q breaks your ROIC floor, operating margin boundary, or balance sheet leverage rules, receive an autonomous breach audit within 15 minutes.

Buffett Quality

ROIC > 15% • Margin > 15% • D/E < 0.5x

Margin Floor Guard

Current Margin 30.4% • Floor > 10%

Solvency Guard

Altman-Z > 2.6 • Current Ratio > 1.5x

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Frequently Asked Questions: NXP Semiconductors N.V. (NXPI) Intrinsic Valuation

Audited fundamentals, DCF intrinsic value sensitivity, and thesis break detection parameters for NXP Semiconductors N.V..

Based on institutional multi-stage Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) modeling on audited SEC cash flows, NXP Semiconductors N.V. has an estimated DCF intrinsic fair value of $372.21 per share compared to its current market price of $236.62. This represents an estimated 36.4% margin of safety (trading below fair value). Additionally, its classic Benjamin Graham Number stands at $109.21.