What is Snap-on Incorporated (SNA) DCF Fair Value and Intrinsic Value in 2026?

Snap-on Incorporated (SNA) intrinsic value is calculated using conservative multi-stage Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) models, 5-year free cash flow trajectories, Graham Numbers, and owner earnings multiples. LocalAlpha tracks real-time margin of safety against live market prices.

What is Snap-on Incorporated's historical Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) and Moat Rating?

Snap-on Incorporated operates in the Industrials sector (Tools & Accessories) with an economic moat rating of NARROW. LocalAlpha tracks 5-year audited quarterly ROIC, operating margin stability, and balance sheet solvency ratios.

What is Snap-on Incorporated's financial health rating and Piotroski F-Score?

Snap-on Incorporated's balance sheet quality is evaluated using the 9-point Piotroski F-Score, Altman Z-Score solvency model, debt-to-equity ratio, and quick/current liquidity coverage to guard against financial distress.

How does LocalAlpha monitor Snap-on Incorporated (SNA) for quarterly SEC filing thesis breaks?

LocalAlpha audits Snap-on Incorporated's 10-K, 10-Q, and 8-K regulatory filings on SEC EDGAR within 15 minutes of release. If reported metrics breach an investor's custom ROIC floor, operating margin boundary, or qualitative risk criteria, an autonomous breach audit is dispatched immediately.

StocksSNA

SNA

Snap-On IncorporatedIndustrials / Tools & AccessoriesINTACT

Snap-on Incorporated manufactures and markets tools, equipment, diagnostics, and repair information and systems solutions for professional users worldwide. It operates through Commercial & Industrial Group, Snap-on Tools Group, Repair Systems & Information Group, and Financial Services segments. The company offers hand tools, such as wrenches, sockets, ratchet wrenches, pliers, screwdrivers, punches and chisels, saws and cutting tools, pruning tools, torque tools, and other similar products; power tools, including cordless, pneumatic, and hydraulic and corded tools; impact wrenches, ratchets, screwdrivers, drills, sanders, and grinders. It also provides tool chests and roll cabinet stool storage products; facility-level tool control and asset management hardware and software; diagnostics, information, and management systems product comprising handheld and computer-based diagnostic products, service and repair information products, diagnostic software solutions, electronic parts catalogs, business management systems and services, point-of-sale systems, integrated systems for vehicle service shops, OEM purchasing facilitation services, and warranty management systems and analytics to help OEM dealerships manage and track performance. In addition, the company offers heel alignment equipment, wheel balancers, tire changers, vehicle lifts, test lane equipment, collision repair equipment, vehicle air conditioning service equipment, brake service equipment, fluid exchange equipment, transmission troubleshooting equipment, safety testing equipment, battery chargers, and hoists; and training programs and after-sales support. It serves the vehicle service and repair, and industrial sectors through mobile van channel, company direct sales, distributors, and digital commerce. Snap-on Incorporated was incorporated in 1920 and is based in Kenosha, Wisconsin.

Share Price

$375.44

52W: $320.8 - $423.02

DCF Fair Value

$559.71

+32.9% MoS

Thesis Hub

P/E (TTM)

19.2x

ROIC

19%

Operating Margin

25.4%

FCF Yield

5.7%

Debt / Equity

0.22x

Piotroski Score

9/9

Altman Z-Score

3.46

Market Cap

$19.4B

Price vs. Intrinsic Value Corridor

Margin of Safety Buy Zone (<25% Discount)

Historical market price overlaid against conservative DCF Fair Value & Benjamin Graham Margin of Safety bands.

Period Return (1Y)

—()

Period Range

$— - $—

DCF Fair Value

$559.71

MOS Buy Target (-25%)

$419.78

Valuation Overlays: DCF Fair Value ($559.71) 25% MOS Buy Target ($419.78) Revised Graham ($494.08) Graham Number ($226.96)

2-Stage Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) Workbench

Conservative intrinsic value model based on owner cash generation over a 10-year investment horizon. Opens with LocalAlpha's baseline assumptions (matching the fair value shown above) — adjust any input to stress-test.

Current Market Price

$375.44

DCF Fair Value

$556.86

+32.6% MoS

Starting Free Cash Flow ($M)$1,109M

$100M$1,109M (Reported)$50,000M

Stage 1 Growth (Years 1-5)12.7%

-5%10% (Target)35%

Stage 2 Growth (Years 6-10)4.5%

0%5%20%

Discount Rate (WACC / Hurdle)9.0%

6%9% (Standard)15% (High Risk)

Terminal Perpetual Growth2.5%

1% (GDP Floor)2.5% (Inflation)4.0%

Net Debt ($M)-$300M (Net Cash)

-$100B CashBalance Sheet+$150B Debt

10-Yr PV of Cash Flows

$11.9B

PV of Terminal Value

$16.7B

Implied Enterprise Value

$28.7B

Implied Equity Value

$29.0B

Year	Yr 1	Yr 2	Yr 3	Yr 4	Yr 5	Yr 6	Yr 7	Yr 8	Yr 9	Yr 10
Projected FCF ($M)	$1,250	$1,409	$1,587	$1,789	$2,016	$2,107	$2,202	$2,301	$2,404	$2,513
Present Value (PV)	$1,147	$1,186	$1,226	$1,267	$1,310	$1,256	$1,204	$1,155	$1,107	$1,061

Benjamin Graham & Buffett Value Models

Classical deep value metrics based on asset backing, normalized earnings power, and owner cash yield.

Graham Number-65.4% Premium

$226.97

Calculated as √(22.5 × EPS × BVPS). The maximum theoretical price a defensive investor should pay based purely on asset book value and current earnings.

EPS: $19.60BVPS: $116.81

Revised Graham Formula+24% MoS

$494.08

Formula: V = (EPS × (8.5 + 2g) × 4.4) / Y where g is the conservative 7-10 yr growth rate and Y is AAA Bond Yield.

Growth Rate (g%)

Bond Yield (Y%)

Buffett Owner Earnings5.4% Yield

$20.26 / share

True distributable cash flow: Net Income + D&A - Maintenance CapEx. Reflects the cash Buffett would extract without hurting unit volume.

Total: $1.1BYield: 5.4%

Reverse DCF: Market Growth Expectation

MODEST BARRIER

4.0% CAGR (Next 10 Yrs)

At the current price of $375.44, the market is assuming the business will compound Free Cash Flow at 4.0% per year for the next decade with a 9% hurdle rate.

Value Investor Verdict

✓ Low market hurdle: Easy for a wide-moat compounder to beat.

Autonomous Thesis Underwriting

Surveil SNA with Mathematical Margin of Safety Rules

Set non-negotiable floor rules for Snap-On Incorporated. If a newly filed quarterly 10-Q breaks your ROIC floor, operating margin boundary, or balance sheet leverage rules, receive an autonomous breach audit within 15 minutes.

Buffett Quality

ROIC > 15% • Margin > 15% • D/E < 0.5x

Margin Floor Guard

Current Margin 25.4% • Floor > 10%

Solvency Guard

Altman-Z > 2.6 • Current Ratio > 1.5x

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Frequently Asked Questions: Snap-On Incorporated (SNA) Intrinsic Valuation

Audited fundamentals, DCF intrinsic value sensitivity, and thesis break detection parameters for Snap-On Incorporated.

Based on institutional multi-stage Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) modeling on audited SEC cash flows, Snap-On Incorporated has an estimated DCF intrinsic fair value of $559.71 per share compared to its current market price of $375.44. This represents an estimated 32.9% margin of safety (trading below fair value). Additionally, its classic Benjamin Graham Number stands at $226.96.