TSN

Tyson Foods, Inc.Consumer Defensive / Farm ProductsINTACT

Tyson Foods, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, operates as a food company worldwide. It operates through four segments: Beef, Pork, Chicken, and Prepared Foods. The company processes live fed cattle and hogs; fabricates dressed beef and pork carcasses into primal and sub-primal meat cuts, as well as case ready beef and pork, and fully cooked meats; raises and processes chickens into fresh, frozen, and value-added chicken products, including breaded chicken strips, nuggets, patties, and other ready-to-fix or fully cooked chicken parts; and supplies poultry breeding stock. It also manufactures and markets frozen and refrigerated food products, including ready-to-eat sandwiches, flame-grilled hamburgers, Philly steaks, pepperoni, bacon, breakfast sausage, turkey, lunchmeat, hot dogs, flour and corn tortilla products, appetizers, snacks, prepared meals, ethnic foods, side dishes, meat dishes, breadsticks, and processed meats under the Tyson, Jimmy Dean, Hillshire Farm, Ball Park, Wright, Aidells, Gallo Salame, ibp, and State Fair brands. The company sells its products through its sales staff to grocery retailers, grocery wholesalers, meat distributors, warehouse club stores, military commissaries, industrial food processing companies, chain restaurants or their distributors, live markets, international export companies, and domestic distributors who serve restaurants and food service operations, such as plant and school cafeterias, convenience stores, hospitals, and other vendors, as well as through independent brokers and trading companies. Tyson Foods, Inc. was founded in 1935 and is headquartered in Springdale, Arkansas.

Share Price
$52.98
52W: $50.56 - $69.48
DCF Fair Value
$54.52
+2.8%
P/E (TTM)
32.7x
ROIC
8%
Operating Margin
2.7%
FCF Yield
6.4%
Debt / Equity
0.44x
Piotroski Score
7/9
Altman Z-Score
6.65
Market Cap
$18.6B

Price vs. Intrinsic Value Corridor

Modest Value ($52.98 vs $54.52 DCF)

Historical market price overlaid against conservative DCF Fair Value & Benjamin Graham Margin of Safety bands.

Period Return (1Y)
()
Period Range
$ - $
DCF Fair Value
$54.52
MOS Buy Target (-25%)
$40.89
Valuation Overlays:

2-Stage Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) Workbench

Conservative intrinsic value model based on owner cash generation over a 10-year investment horizon. Opens with LocalAlpha's baseline assumptions (matching the fair value shown above) — adjust any input to stress-test.

Current Market Price
$52.98
DCF Fair Value
$54.25
+2.3%
$1,191M
$100M$1,191M (Reported)$50,000M
5.3%
-5%10% (Target)35%
4.5%
0%5%20%
9.0%
6%9% (Standard)15% (High Risk)
2.5%
1% (GDP Floor)2.5% (Inflation)4.0%
$7,300M
-$100B CashBalance Sheet+$150B Debt
10-Yr PV of Cash Flows
$9.8B
PV of Terminal Value
$12.8B
Implied Enterprise Value
$22.6B
Implied Equity Value
$15.3B
YearYr 1Yr 2Yr 3Yr 4Yr 5Yr 6Yr 7Yr 8Yr 9Yr 10
Projected FCF ($M)$1,254$1,321$1,391$1,464$1,542$1,611$1,684$1,760$1,839$1,921
Present Value (PV)$1,151$1,112$1,074$1,037$1,002$961$921$883$847$812

Benjamin Graham & Buffett Value Models

Classical deep value metrics based on asset backing, normalized earnings power, and owner cash yield.

Graham Number-22.4% Premium
$43.28

Calculated as √(22.5 × EPS × BVPS). The maximum theoretical price a defensive investor should pay based purely on asset book value and current earnings.

EPS: $1.62BVPS: $51.39
Revised Graham Formula-116.2% Premium
$24.50

Formula: V = (EPS × (8.5 + 2g) × 4.4) / Y where g is the conservative 7-10 yr growth rate and Y is AAA Bond Yield.

Buffett Owner Earnings7.6% Yield
$4.01 / share

True distributable cash flow: Net Income + D&A - Maintenance CapEx. Reflects the cash Buffett would extract without hurting unit volume.

Total: $1.1BYield: 7.6%

Reverse DCF: Market Growth Expectation

EXTREMELY LOW BARRIER
-0.6% CAGR (Next 10 Yrs)

At the current price of $52.98, the market is assuming the business will compound Free Cash Flow at -0.6% per year for the next decade with a 9% hurdle rate.

Value Investor Verdict
✓ Low market hurdle: Easy for a wide-moat compounder to beat.
Autonomous Thesis Underwriting

Surveil TSN with Mathematical Margin of Safety Rules

Set non-negotiable floor rules for Tyson Foods, Inc.. If a newly filed quarterly 10-Q breaks your ROIC floor, operating margin boundary, or balance sheet leverage rules, receive an autonomous breach audit within 15 minutes.

Buffett Quality

ROIC > 15% • Margin > 15% • D/E < 0.5x

Margin Floor Guard

Current Margin 2.7% • Floor > 10%

Solvency Guard

Altman-Z > 2.6 • Current Ratio > 1.5x

Frequently Asked Questions: Tyson Foods, Inc. (TSN) Intrinsic Valuation

Audited fundamentals, DCF intrinsic value sensitivity, and thesis break detection parameters for Tyson Foods, Inc..

Based on institutional multi-stage Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) modeling on audited SEC cash flows, Tyson Foods, Inc. has an estimated DCF intrinsic fair value of $54.52 per share compared to its current market price of $52.98. This represents an estimated 2.8% margin of safety (trading below fair value). Additionally, its classic Benjamin Graham Number stands at $43.28.

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