What is Aptiv PLC (APTV) DCF Fair Value and Intrinsic Value in 2026?

Aptiv PLC (APTV) intrinsic value is calculated using conservative multi-stage Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) models, 5-year free cash flow trajectories, Graham Numbers, and owner earnings multiples. LocalAlpha tracks real-time margin of safety against live market prices.

What is Aptiv PLC's historical Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) and Moat Rating?

Aptiv PLC operates in the Consumer Cyclical sector (Auto Parts) with an economic moat rating of NARROW. LocalAlpha tracks 5-year audited quarterly ROIC, operating margin stability, and balance sheet solvency ratios.

What is Aptiv PLC's financial health rating and Piotroski F-Score?

Aptiv PLC's balance sheet quality is evaluated using the 9-point Piotroski F-Score, Altman Z-Score solvency model, debt-to-equity ratio, and quick/current liquidity coverage to guard against financial distress.

How does LocalAlpha monitor Aptiv PLC (APTV) for quarterly SEC filing thesis breaks?

LocalAlpha audits Aptiv PLC's 10-K, 10-Q, and 8-K regulatory filings on SEC EDGAR within 15 minutes of release. If reported metrics breach an investor's custom ROIC floor, operating margin boundary, or qualitative risk criteria, an autonomous breach audit is dispatched immediately.

StocksAPTV

APTV

Aptiv PLCConsumer Cyclical / Auto PartsINTACT

Aptiv PLC, an industrial technology company, provides hardware and software solutions to support automotive and other industries in North America, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, the Asia Pacific, and South America. It operates through three segments: Advanced Safety and User Experience, Engineered Components, and Electrical Distribution Systems. The company offers active safety, user experience and smart vehicle compute, and software products for vehicle safety and security, including intelligent sensors, compute platforms, and software tools and services. It also provides connection systems, interconnects, and cable management and protection solutions for the distribution of power, signal, and data. Aptiv PLC was incorporated in 2011 and is based in Schaffhausen, Switzerland.

Share Price

$45.54

52W: $43.83 - $88.93

DCF Fair Value

$128.15

+64.5% MoS

Thesis Hub

P/E (TTM)

20.6x

ROIC

9.5%

Operating Margin

12.7%

FCF Yield

16.8%

Debt / Equity

0.65x

Piotroski Score

8/9

Altman Z-Score

5.98

Market Cap

$9.6B

Price vs. Intrinsic Value Corridor

Margin of Safety Buy Zone (<25% Discount)

Historical market price overlaid against conservative DCF Fair Value & Benjamin Graham Margin of Safety bands.

Period Return (1Y)

—()

Period Range

$— - $—

DCF Fair Value

$128.15

MOS Buy Target (-25%)

$96.11

Valuation Overlays: DCF Fair Value ($128.15) 25% MOS Buy Target ($96.11) Revised Graham ($36.47) Graham Number ($45.70)

2-Stage Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) Workbench

Conservative intrinsic value model based on owner cash generation over a 10-year investment horizon. Opens with LocalAlpha's baseline assumptions (matching the fair value shown above) — adjust any input to stress-test.

Current Market Price

$45.54

DCF Fair Value

$127.82

+64.4% MoS

Starting Free Cash Flow ($M)$1,616M

$100M$1,616M (Reported)$50,000M

Stage 1 Growth (Years 1-5)6.3%

-5%10% (Target)35%

Stage 2 Growth (Years 6-10)4.5%

0%5%20%

Discount Rate (WACC / Hurdle)9.0%

6%9% (Standard)15% (High Risk)

Terminal Perpetual Growth2.5%

1% (GDP Floor)2.5% (Inflation)4.0%

Net Debt ($M)$4,900M

-$100B CashBalance Sheet+$150B Debt

10-Yr PV of Cash Flows

$13.8B

PV of Terminal Value

$18.2B

Implied Enterprise Value

$32.0B

Implied Equity Value

$27.1B

Year	Yr 1	Yr 2	Yr 3	Yr 4	Yr 5	Yr 6	Yr 7	Yr 8	Yr 9	Yr 10
Projected FCF ($M)	$1,718	$1,826	$1,941	$2,063	$2,193	$2,292	$2,395	$2,503	$2,616	$2,733
Present Value (PV)	$1,576	$1,537	$1,499	$1,462	$1,426	$1,367	$1,310	$1,256	$1,204	$1,155

Benjamin Graham & Buffett Value Models

Classical deep value metrics based on asset backing, normalized earnings power, and owner cash yield.

Graham Number+0.4%

$45.71

Calculated as √(22.5 × EPS × BVPS). The maximum theoretical price a defensive investor should pay based purely on asset book value and current earnings.

EPS: $2.21BVPS: $42.01

Revised Graham Formula-24.9% Premium

$36.47

Formula: V = (EPS × (8.5 + 2g) × 4.4) / Y where g is the conservative 7-10 yr growth rate and Y is AAA Bond Yield.

Growth Rate (g%)

Bond Yield (Y%)

Buffett Owner Earnings15.9% Yield

$7.24 / share

True distributable cash flow: Net Income + D&A - Maintenance CapEx. Reflects the cash Buffett would extract without hurting unit volume.

Total: $1.5BYield: 15.9%

Reverse DCF: Market Growth Expectation

EXTREMELY LOW BARRIER

-10.9% CAGR (Next 10 Yrs)

At the current price of $45.54, the market is assuming the business will compound Free Cash Flow at -10.9% per year for the next decade with a 9% hurdle rate.

Value Investor Verdict

✓ Low market hurdle: Easy for a wide-moat compounder to beat.

Autonomous Thesis Underwriting

Surveil APTV with Mathematical Margin of Safety Rules

Set non-negotiable floor rules for Aptiv PLC. If a newly filed quarterly 10-Q breaks your ROIC floor, operating margin boundary, or balance sheet leverage rules, receive an autonomous breach audit within 15 minutes.

Buffett Quality

ROIC > 15% • Margin > 15% • D/E < 0.5x

Margin Floor Guard

Current Margin 12.7% • Floor > 10%

Solvency Guard

Altman-Z > 2.6 • Current Ratio > 1.5x

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Frequently Asked Questions: Aptiv PLC (APTV) Intrinsic Valuation

Audited fundamentals, DCF intrinsic value sensitivity, and thesis break detection parameters for Aptiv PLC.

Based on institutional multi-stage Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) modeling on audited SEC cash flows, Aptiv PLC has an estimated DCF intrinsic fair value of $128.15 per share compared to its current market price of $45.54. This represents an estimated 64.5% margin of safety (trading below fair value). Additionally, its classic Benjamin Graham Number stands at $45.70.