GM
General Motors CompanyConsumer Cyclical / Auto ManufacturersINTACTGeneral Motors Company designs, builds, and sells trucks, crossovers, cars, and automobile parts worldwide. It operates through GM North America, GM International, and GM Financial segments. The company markets its vehicles primarily under the Buick, Cadillac, Chevrolet, GMC, Baojun, and Wuling brand names. In addition, it sells trucks, crossovers, cars, and automobile parts through retail dealers, distributors and dealers, as well as to fleet customers, including daily rental car companies, commercial fleet customers, leasing companies, and governments. Further, the company offers various range of after-sale services through dealer network, such as maintenance, light repairs, collision repairs, vehicle accessories, and extended service warranties. Additionally, it provides automotive financing; and software-enabled services and subscriptions. General Motors Company was founded in 1908 and is based in Detroit, Michigan.
Price vs. Intrinsic Value Corridor
Margin of Safety Buy Zone (<25% Discount)Historical market price overlaid against conservative DCF Fair Value & Benjamin Graham Margin of Safety bands.
2-Stage Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) Workbench
Conservative intrinsic value model based on owner cash generation over a 10-year investment horizon. Opens with LocalAlpha's baseline assumptions (matching the fair value shown above) — adjust any input to stress-test.
| Year | Yr 1 | Yr 2 | Yr 3 | Yr 4 | Yr 5 | Yr 6 | Yr 7 | Yr 8 | Yr 9 | Yr 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Projected FCF ($M) | $23,097 | $24,321 | $25,610 | $26,967 | $28,396 | $29,674 | $31,009 | $32,405 | $33,863 | $35,387 |
| Present Value (PV) | $21,189 | $20,470 | $19,775 | $19,104 | $18,456 | $17,694 | $16,963 | $16,263 | $15,591 | $14,948 |
Benjamin Graham & Buffett Value Models
Classical deep value metrics based on asset backing, normalized earnings power, and owner cash yield.
Calculated as √(22.5 × EPS × BVPS). The maximum theoretical price a defensive investor should pay based purely on asset book value and current earnings.
Formula: V = (EPS × (8.5 + 2g) × 4.4) / Y where g is the conservative 7-10 yr growth rate and Y is AAA Bond Yield.
True distributable cash flow: Net Income + D&A - Maintenance CapEx. Reflects the cash Buffett would extract without hurting unit volume.
Reverse DCF: Market Growth Expectation
EXTREMELY LOW BARRIERAt the current price of $85.62, the market is assuming the business will compound Free Cash Flow at -19.1% per year for the next decade with a 9% hurdle rate.
Surveil GM with Mathematical Margin of Safety Rules
Set non-negotiable floor rules for General Motors Company. If a newly filed quarterly 10-Q breaks your ROIC floor, operating margin boundary, or balance sheet leverage rules, receive an autonomous breach audit within 15 minutes.
ROIC > 15% • Margin > 15% • D/E < 0.5x
Current Margin 3.2% • Floor > 10%
Altman-Z > 2.6 • Current Ratio > 1.5x
Frequently Asked Questions: General Motors Company (GM) Intrinsic Valuation
Audited fundamentals, DCF intrinsic value sensitivity, and thesis break detection parameters for General Motors Company.
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