V

Visa Inc.Financial Services / Credit ServicesINTACT

Visa Inc. operates as a payment technology company in the United States and internationally. The company operates VisaNet, a transaction processing network that enables authorization, clearing, and settlement of payment transactions. It also offers credit, debit, and prepaid card products; tap to pay, tokenization, and click to pay services; Visa Direct, a platform which facilitates money movement, enabling clients to collect, hold, convert, and send funds across its network; and issuing solutions, such as airport lounge access, dining reservations, shopping experiences, event tickets, and seller offers. In addition, the company provides acceptance solutions, an omnichannel payment integration with e-commerce platforms; risk detection and prevention solutions; and advisory and other services comprising consulting practice, proprietary analytics models, data scientists and economists, marketing services, and managed services. It provides its services under the Visa, Visa Electron, V PAY, Interlink, and PLUS brands. The company serves consumers, sellers, financial institutions, and government entities. Visa Inc. was founded in 1958 and is headquartered in San Francisco, California.

Share Price
$367.39
52W: $293.89 - $385.57
DCF Fair Value
$376.49
+2.4%
P/E (TTM)
31.2x
ROIC
49.6%
Operating Margin
66.1%
FCF Yield
3%
Debt / Equity
0.68x
Piotroski Score
7/9
Altman Z-Score
3
Market Cap
$685.9B

Price vs. Intrinsic Value Corridor

Modest Value ($367.39 vs $376.49 DCF)

Historical market price overlaid against conservative DCF Fair Value & Benjamin Graham Margin of Safety bands.

Period Return (1Y)
()
Period Range
$ - $
DCF Fair Value
$376.49
MOS Buy Target (-25%)
$282.37
Valuation Overlays:

2-Stage Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) Workbench

Conservative intrinsic value model based on owner cash generation over a 10-year investment horizon. Opens with LocalAlpha's baseline assumptions (matching the fair value shown above) — adjust any input to stress-test.

Current Market Price
$367.39
DCF Fair Value
$376.49
+2.4%
$20,404M
$100M$20,404M (Reported)$51,010M
18.0%
-5%10% (Target)35%
4.5%
0%5%20%
9.0%
6%9% (Standard)15% (High Risk)
2.5%
1% (GDP Floor)2.5% (Inflation)4.0%
$10,100M
-$100B CashBalance Sheet+$150B Debt
10-Yr PV of Cash Flows
$264.2B
PV of Terminal Value
$387.5B
Implied Enterprise Value
$651.6B
Implied Equity Value
$641.5B
YearYr 1Yr 2Yr 3Yr 4Yr 5Yr 6Yr 7Yr 8Yr 9Yr 10
Projected FCF ($M)$24,077$28,411$33,524$39,559$46,679$48,780$50,975$53,269$55,666$58,171
Present Value (PV)$22,089$23,913$25,887$28,024$30,338$29,086$27,885$26,734$25,630$24,572

Benjamin Graham & Buffett Value Models

Classical deep value metrics based on asset backing, normalized earnings power, and owner cash yield.

Graham Number-419.9% Premium
$70.66

Calculated as √(22.5 × EPS × BVPS). The maximum theoretical price a defensive investor should pay based purely on asset book value and current earnings.

EPS: $11.76BVPS: $18.87
Revised Graham Formula+11.5%
$415.03

Formula: V = (EPS × (8.5 + 2g) × 4.4) / Y where g is the conservative 7-10 yr growth rate and Y is AAA Bond Yield.

Buffett Owner Earnings3.1% Yield
$11.38 / share

True distributable cash flow: Net Income + D&A - Maintenance CapEx. Reflects the cash Buffett would extract without hurting unit volume.

Total: $19.4BYield: 3.1%

Reverse DCF: Market Growth Expectation

FAIR BARRIER
11.3% CAGR (Next 10 Yrs)

At the current price of $367.39, the market is assuming the business will compound Free Cash Flow at 11.3% per year for the next decade with a 9% hurdle rate.

Value Investor Verdict
ℹ Fair expectations: Requires steady execution.
Autonomous Thesis Underwriting

Surveil V with Mathematical Margin of Safety Rules

Set non-negotiable floor rules for Visa Inc.. If a newly filed quarterly 10-Q breaks your ROIC floor, operating margin boundary, or balance sheet leverage rules, receive an autonomous breach audit within 15 minutes.

Buffett Quality

ROIC > 15% • Margin > 15% • D/E < 0.5x

Margin Floor Guard

Current Margin 66.1% • Floor > 10%

Solvency Guard

Altman-Z > 2.6 • Current Ratio > 1.5x

Frequently Asked Questions: Visa Inc. (V) Intrinsic Valuation

Audited fundamentals, DCF intrinsic value sensitivity, and thesis break detection parameters for Visa Inc..

Based on institutional multi-stage Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) modeling on audited SEC cash flows, Visa Inc. has an estimated DCF intrinsic fair value of $376.49 per share compared to its current market price of $367.39. This represents an estimated 2.4% margin of safety (trading below fair value). Additionally, its classic Benjamin Graham Number stands at $70.66.

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